Autumn Budget 2025 Overview

By Questa

It’s been a big week in Westminster. Chancellor Rachel Reeves has delivered her first Autumn Budget, and whether you’re a homeowner, a business owner, or just trying to stretch your payslip a little further, there’s plenty in here to chew over. So what’s changing, who’s paying, and how will this all play out over the next few years? Here’s what you really need to know in our budget 2025 overview.

So, what’s the thinking?

At its heart, this budget is all about trying to do two big things at once: fix the public finances and help people through the cost-of-living crisis. No easy feat.

The government’s aiming to raise £26 billion a year by the end of the decade – mostly from wealthier households and through tax tweaks that don’t kick in straight away. The goal? Get borrowing down without causing a political earthquake right now.

Meanwhile, there’s a clear attempt to ease pressure on everyday bills and invest in areas like clean energy, housing, and AI. Think of it as a balancing act: tighten the belt in some places, loosen it in others.

The long game on tax – and why it matters

One of the biggest takeaways? Most of the heavy lifting won’t really kick in until after the next election.

Capital Gains Tax is going up, especially for entrepreneurs cashing out. From 2025, rates start climbing, hitting 18% in 2026. That’s nearly double the current rate in some cases.

If you’ve been parking money in pensions thinking they’ll stay safe from inheritance tax, think again. From 2027, any unused pensions when you die will now count towards your estate for IHT purposes. This is a massive shift – and it’ll affect thousands of families.

And then there’s the quiet killer: freezing tax thresholds. By keeping income tax and NIC bands frozen through to 2031, more of your pay will be taxed at higher rates as wages rise. It’s known as “fiscal drag” – and it’s how governments raise revenue without touching headline rates.

From working with hundreds of clients over the years, we’ve seen how these kinds of delayed tax changes can catch people out. It’s tempting to ignore something that won’t affect you for a few years, but these moves will shape retirement plans, business exits and even where people choose to live.

Helping with bills – but for how long?

On the flip side, there’s genuine relief coming for households. Energy bills are set to drop by an average of £150 from April 2026, thanks to changes in how older renewable projects are funded. And if you rely on trains or prescriptions, the government’s freezing those costs for a year too.

Fuel duty remains frozen (again), and the National Living Wage will rise to £12.71/hour. That’s a pay rise worth around £900 for a full-time worker.

Perhaps the most meaningful change? Scrapping the two-child limit on Universal Credit. This could lift nearly half a million children out of poverty. For years, campaigners have argued that this policy was trapping families in hardship. Now it’s going.

All of this is being paid for in part by cuts to tax perks elsewhere – including changes to the Motability scheme and a major crackdown on benefits fraud.

Pensions, savings and inheritance – a big shake-up

Let’s talk pensions. If you’re a higher earner or you’ve been maxing out your salary sacrifice arrangements, there are some tough pills to swallow.

From 2029, there’ll be a cap on how much of your salary you can funnel into pensions tax-efficiently via salary sacrifice – set at £2,000 per year. That’s a big change from the current open-ended setup.

And if you’re someone who’s been carefully building up a defined contribution pot thinking it’ll be passed down tax-free – as we learned at the Autumn 2024 budget – that window’s closing. From 6th April 2027, unused pension funds will be brought into the calculation for Inheritance Tax and on death will be treated as part of a person’s estate.

Even ISAs haven’t escaped. If you’re under 65, you’ll only be able to put £12,000 a year into a cash ISA from 2027 (though the stocks and shares ISA limit stays at £20,000).

The message here is clear: the government wants to raise more from wealth and savings, especially from those who’ve benefited most from past tax rules.

Big spending – but with conditions

Despite all the talk of fiscal tightening, there’s still big money being spent. Infrastructure investment is holding steady at high levels – projects like the Lower Thames Crossing are getting the green light, and the government’s doubling down on AI zones in Wales.

If you live in one of the mayoral regions like Manchester or the West Midlands, expect more control over local budgets. Billions are being handed over as part of an effort to boost regional growth.

And in housing, the goal of 1.5 million new homes in England remains, backed by a chunky £39 billion programme. The planning system is getting a bit of a refresh too – which is long overdue.

It’s a mixed picture though. Departmental spending is effectively flat, and some Whitehall departments are going to have to make more “efficiency savings” – code for doing the same with less.

The elephant in the room: long-term growth

Here’s where it gets tricky. The independent watchdog (OBR) has nudged its growth forecast for 2025 up to 1.5%, but from 2026 onwards, things look sluggish. They’re expecting growth to hover around 1.4–1.5% per year all the way through to 2030.

Why does that matter? Because if the economy doesn’t grow, it’s harder to raise tax without people feeling the pinch. It also means services stay stretched, and the government has less room to manoeuvre.

Productivity is still the sticking point. The UK just isn’t getting more efficient at producing things – and that makes the fiscal sums harder.

The markets liked what they saw (gilt yields dropped, and the pound strengthened), but economists are wary. Delaying tough tax rises until after 2026 means there’s still plenty of political and economic risk baked in.

So, what should you actually do about all this?

If you’re a business owner, a homeowner, or someone with assets, now’s the time to look ahead. The tax landscape from 2026 onwards is going to look very different – so don’t wait until it’s too late to plan.

Here are a few things worth discussing in your next meeting with your financial planner:

  • Estate planning – if you were relying on pensions to pass down wealth tax-free, that strategy needs a rethink.
  • Capital gains – if you’re planning a business exit, 2025 might be your last chance to do it at current CGT rates.
  • Salary sacrifice – check how much you’re using this now, and what the new cap might mean.
  • Savings strategy – if you’re under 65 and maxing out your cash ISA, keep an eye on the new rules from 2027.
  • Welfare changes – if you’re working with families affected by Universal Credit, start preparing them for the changes coming in 2026.

We’ve helped hundreds of clients adjust their plans ahead of major tax shifts. The earlier you act, the more options you’ve got.

Final thought

This isn’t a flashy budget. There’s no headline giveaway or rabbit-out-of-a-hat moment. But it does mark a clear shift in direction.

The government’s betting that by spreading the pain over time – and focusing on taxing wealth over work – it can rebuild credibility without sparking a backlash. Whether that gamble pays off will depend on how the economy holds up, and whether voters have the patience for delayed pain.

For now, it’s worth tuning in to the detail – because the decisions you make today will affect how this budget lands on your doorstep tomorrow.

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